Swampland, TIME

For McCain, California is his ticket to Munich

As they gather at Rockefeller Center Plaza this morning for a final New York rally, before they fly to San Diego and end up in Phoenix, the McCain people have some worries about today. They're confident they'll win New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Delaware and Arizona. They're sure they'll end the evening with at least a 200-delegate lead over Mitt Romney. And they know that with that kind of lead going forward, with some proportional contests and key open primaries to look forward to, it will be all but a statistical-logical-political impossibility for Mitt Romney to somehow end up with the nomination. And yet McCain's people fear he may lose the popular vote in California to Romney -- even if they haul in the same number of CA delegates -- and that the Super Tuesday story will therefore NOT be the crowning of McCain but rather his failure to put away the game, a failure born of his fractious and sometimes unloving relationship with conservatives, especially those millions of conservatives who listen to and abide by Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity, not to mention Limbaugh and Hannity themselves, and a failure that in turn will be viewed as both a symptom and a cause of the historic crack-up of the conservative coalition that has sustained and nourished the Republican Party for a couple generations.

Unless McCain wins in California. In which case, Romney's efforts to build an anti-McCain movement will likely run out of gas and Romney will have to consider how much longer to stay in the race. And John McCain will be able to fly to Munich at the end of the week, as planned, to the Werkunde conference on security, a multi-national wonk-fest that the Arizona senator considers a kind of annual vacation. Only this time he would be attending as the Republican nominee for President. If he doesn't beat Romney in California, McCain will have to cancel his Werkunde trip in order to campaign in what would be the next big test -- the Virginia primary on Feb. 12. "And no one wants to tell him he can't go to Werkunde," says an aide.

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Reader Comments (14)

Romney will not get the nom, this year, or any year. No more vote buying flip-floppers ala Kerry, thanks.

Reminder...

Obama: Honest, and devoutly socialist. Promises to bankrupt the country AND unilaterally surrender to Al Queda within first 100 days in office. Cool wife, cute kids, could gain a few pounds and a few decades. No record of any actual day job. Votes when he feels so compelled (not so much). Everyone you ever met under the age of 30 during 1974 in some bicoastal airport. Nice and clueless lawyer. Metrosexual god. Your basic vague and vapid sports suit. Bears fan.

Hillary: Dishonest, and semi-socialist. Promises to surrender to UN Smurfs AND bankrupt the country within first 100 days in office. Spousal unit goes AWOL more often than PT Barnum went to the circus. Will cut and run faster to the center than Manu Genobli, come the day after Super Tuesday. Vast experience includes co-impeached successes in Rwanda, Somalia, Waco, and South Beach. Screams at own kid like there was no Alec Baldwin birth control tomorrow. Lawyer, corporate board baby sitter, shoe box miner, FBI files fondler. Uses language only a French sailor can love. Heavy dike inflection (with shallow regrets). Your basic vague and vapid sports suit. Bears and/or Yankees and/or Cubs fan.

Wow what a woman's choice.

QUESTION HILLARY Author Profile Page:

BTW, much of the country getting Army football in November weather today: Rainy, cold, dark, windy.

= MOTHER NATURE ACCOMPLISHED =

Derek:

I hope McCain doesn't choke someone if he can't go to Germany and demonstrate his ignorance on economics and threaten the world with more war.

"Promises to bankrupt the country"

McCain has already stated he will follow Bush's economic strategy in addition to his war. That has lead to 4 trillion in debt for which it will take 2 Iraq wars per year, forever, to pay the interest on. I really don't think conservatives ought to be handing out any more lectures on economics. They should stick to war mongering.

Ohg Rea Tone Author Profile Page:

John McCain is the White Knight, rushing into the flames of dragon breath Rush Limbaugh, to save the Republican Party from the abuse of radical conservatives. The radicals are throwing tantrums and breaking the furniture because their abused spouse has checked into the shelter.
Ohg
http://thefiresidepost.com/2008/01/31/the-john-mccain-shelter-for-abused-conservatives/

Florida:

Between QH's moronic posts, Rush's obsessing over anal injections, and Saint McCain's godawful stand-up routine, I'd say the Republican party is pretty well done for.

jayackroyd Author Profile Page:

FLorida--

Check out Glenn Greenwald yesterday.

The failure of the Republicans is deeply manifest in the voting population.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nUXtyIQjubU

And you must remember this. There are no enemies. And we are on a permanent war footing.

Tayla:

Wow, disgusting. This isn't valid information. Just hand-picked corporate candidates. I hope you people wake up and get out there and inform yourselves before you vote. We are the laughing stock of the planet right now because our apathy is allowing these candidates to rise up and take control of everything. To those of you who are being spoon-fed this crap by the main stream media, I suggest you re-evaluate the situation.

matt:

McCain still comes out of today as the frontrunner and presumed nominee even if California is a delegate/pop vote split. Romney can't win.

http://political-buzz.com/2008/02/04/2408-political-dispatch-podcast-super-tuesday-preview/

fakesteve:

I guess John McCain will be able to fly to Munich next weekend,
but its called Wehrkunde…

Harry:

I'm curious in the end to see just how much power conservative talk radio actually has. Remember November '06. Hewitt, Limbaugh, Hannity, Carr, Boortz, Beck, Crowley, etc., had no ability to stop the landslide. Now they're all out on a limb eviscerating McCain at every opportunity. It'd be easy to ascribe the heightened screeching to a raging last gasp against irrelevance. Is there any objective information on how much influence they actually bring at the ballot box?

elefant-und-esel:

Jay:

It'd be "Wehrkunde", but nobody says that around here in, you know, Germany.

b:


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tarekhassan Author Profile Page:

the heightened screeching to a raging last gasp against irrelevance. Is there any objective information
http://www.ql0b.com/vb/
http://www.ql0b.com/

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Ana Marie Cox

Ana Marie Cox is the founding editor of Wonkette and the author of the novel Dog Days. Read more

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Karen Tumulty is TIME's National Political Correspondent and has also covered the White House and Congress. Read more

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Jay Newton-Small

Jay Newton-Small has covered the Bush 43 White House and Congress since the DeLay era. Read more

Michael Scherer

Michael Scherer is a TIME Washington bureau correspondent covering the 2008 presidential campaign. Read more

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